When newly-minted General Manager A.J. Preller interviewed
for the job last year, I’m sure the Padres’ brass asked him what he would do
differently. Little did they know, he had a storm of trade scenarios brewing in
his brain. The Friars revamped their outfield with the power-hitting trio of
Matt Kemp, Wil Myers and Justin Upton, all coming in via trade. They also swung
deals for third baseman Will Middlebrooks and catcher Derek Norris.
Big Game Shields |
Their pitching staff was fairly solid in 2014, with Tyson
Ross having a career year in the rotation and Andrew Cashner and Ian Kennedy
providing good production when healthy. They also resigned pitcher Josh
Johnson, whose first season in San Diego was cut short due to Tommy John
surgery. On top of those options, the Padres made a late splash in the free
agent market by signing San Diego native James Shields to a four-year contract worth
at least $75 million. Shields and the other new acquisitions will surely be the
difference-makers in the division.
Who to watch: The
team obviously invested a hefty amount in their new pickups. The outfield,
which was the thorn in the side of the 2014 Padres, has quickly become a potent
mix of sluggers. I'm not saying they're going to be stellar, but they should be fun to watch at the very least.
The Flyin' Friars. |
With some good breaks and healthy amounts of playing time,
they could certainly combine for 70 home runs and 250 RBI. As for Shields,
moving to Petco Park, a pitcher’s paradise over the past few seasons, should
help to reestablish the nickname “Big Game James” (not that it ever left).
Sleeper: A
consistent strength of otherwise unexciting Padres teams in recent years has
been the bullpen. They have taken guys with little or no experience and turned
them into valuable commodities by sticking them in relief roles.
Quakenbush looks like he brews moonshine in the off season. |
Behind closer
Joaquin Benoit, San Diego has a stellar set-up man in Kevin Quakenbush, who
debuted in 2014 to pitch 54.1 innings with 56 strikeouts. Besides having one of
the best names in the game, I think Quakenbush will continue to grow and
develop, eventually taking over the reins of closer.
Bust: If this
team is trying to make the postseason as their free agent expenditures suggest,
then they are going to have to do something about their infield. Middlebrooks,
while serviceable, should not be the name that stands out, as it currently
does.
Stuck in the Middlebrooks. |
Shortstop Alexi Amarista, second baseman Jedd Gyorko and first baseman
Yonder Alonso round out what looks to be an island of misfit ball players. If
the team is still in playoff contention come July, look for the front office to
try and swing a trade for somebody along the lines of Chase Utley or Daniel
Murphy.
Will these be front-shelf or clearance rack at the end of the season? |
Bold prediction: The
outfield experiment of Upton, Myers and Kemp will either come through or
implode completely. Upton is an exciting but extremely streaky hitter who is
moving to a pitcher’s ballpark. Myers has barely more than a year of service
time and missed most of 2014.
Kemp is the shell of his former, MVP-worthy self.
Does that sound like a lock for success to you? Sure, it’s probably worth
taking a chance on, but that trio is far from perfect.